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Polymarket’s “Fed Decision in October?” board has No change at 82.5 cents and a 25-basis-point hike at 16.5 cents for the October 27-28 meeting. Cuts and a
Conference Boards’s senior U.S. economist sees underlying strength in “weak” jobs data, door open to October rate hike if coming CPI, PPI reports show inflation accelerating
U.S. employers added just 29,000 jobs in September as unemployment edged up to 4.2%. Kalshi traders now price an October rate hold at 77%.