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El Niño heat could drive 451,000 extra deaths worldwide, report warns
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- Published
- Sep 24, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC
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Global climate phenomenon
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a global climate phenomenon that emerges from variation in winds and sea surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific Ocean. Those variations have an irregular pattern but do have some appearance of cycles. The occurrence of ENSO is not easily predictable. It affects the climate of much of the tropics and subtropics, and has links (teleconnections) to higher-latitude regions of the world. The warming phase of the sea surface temperature is known as "El Niño" and the cooling phase as "La Niña".
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Researchers estimate a powerful El Niño may contribute to 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide during the first nine months of the climate pattern.
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India could record around 15,800 additional heat-related deaths between September 2026 and February 2027 as an…