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Global climate phenomenon
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a global climate phenomenon that emerges from variation in winds and sea surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific Ocean. Those variations have an irregular pattern, but do have some appearance of cycles. The occurrence of ENSO is not easily predictable. It affects the climate of much of the tropics and subtropics, and has links (teleconnections) to higher-latitude regions of the world. The warming phase of the sea surface temperature is known as "El Niño" and the cooling phase as "La Niña".
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A strong El Niño may mean more freeze-thaw cycles and freezing rain this winter, the conditions behind last year's $466 million Ontario and Quebec ice storm.
El Niño tilts the odds toward anomalous weather that can impact the U.S. power system in both good ways and bad ways.
This year's El Niño has been making waves. A new forecast map shows which states are most likely to see the biggest changes in snowfall in the coming season.