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The odds of an October Fed rate hike have roughly halved since Monday, and the Dollar Index has risen on every one of those days. It trades near 102.10, its highest since April 2025. The index is moving with Crude Oil and the Euro rather than with the odds for the Fed
The Dollar Index broke above 102 to its highest since April 2025 as costly crude and euro-zone stress outweighed fading odds of an October Fed hike.